MMA DFS Leverage: May 14, 2022

For an explanation of what these leverage scores mean and how they're calculated, read this. Here is a breakdown of leverage scores for today's UFC slate:

MMA DFS Leverage: April 30, 2022

For an explanation of what these leverage scores mean and how they're calculated, read this. Here is a breakdown of leverage scores for today's UFC slate:

MMA DFS Leverage: April 16, 2022

For an explanation of what these leverage scores mean and how they're calculated, read this. Here is a breakdown of leverage scores for today's UFC slate:

MMA DFS: Gaining Leverage with an Efficient Market

The best way to win in DFS is to exploit the competition. Along with casual players, those that think they are experts or know better than the industry are the best to go up against. While this is true in every DFS format, it is particularly true in MMA DFS. By putting opinions to the …

WR/TE Beta: Sensitivity to Team Performance

For an explanation on what fantasy beta is, read this: https://detzelsportshome.wordpress.com/2021/09/21/measuring-team-score-dependent-fantasy-performance-fantasy-football-beta/ QB Numbers | RB Numbers In my last post, I found that QBs are the most dependent on team score, while RBs and WRs were less dependent and had about the same sensitivity to team performance. This post will focus on receivers. Which wide …

RB Beta: Sensitivity to Team Performance

For an explanation on what fantasy beta is, read this: https://detzelsportshome.wordpress.com/2021/09/21/measuring-team-score-dependent-fantasy-performance-fantasy-football-beta/ QB Beta numbers can be found here. In my last post, I found that QBs are the most dependent on team score, while RBs and WRs were less dependent and had about the same sensitivity to team performance. This post will focus on RBs. …

QB Beta: Sensitivity to Team Performance

For an explanation on what fantasy beta is, read this: https://detzelsportshome.wordpress.com/2021/09/21/measuring-team-score-dependent-fantasy-performance-fantasy-football-beta/ RB Beta numbers can be found here. In my last post, I showed that quarterbacks are the most dependent on their overall team performance (likely because they play the biggest factor). But which quarterbacks are the most dependent? Below is a table of the …

Measuring Team Score Dependent Fantasy Performance: Fantasy Football Beta

Fantasy football involves a substantial amount of randomness. A matchup can be won or lost based on a called back touchdown or freak injury. While there are new metrics created every week that try to cut down the noise, nothing can fully encapsulate the true skill or opportunity of a player. Outside factors such as …

Week 11 NFL Picks

Week 10 Results: Week 9 Results Season Results Consensus Picks 3-2-1 20-22-1 (.465) Metric Picks 5-7-1 49-49-2 (.490) Drive Picks 6-6-1 55-33-2 (.550) QBR Picks 8-4-1 45-53-2 (.450) Consensus picks finished 3-2-1 this week, once again hovering around .500. They finished with a total CLV of -1.0 this week and +16.5 this season. Here are my models' …

Week 10 NFL Picks

Week 9 Results: Week 9 Results Season Results Consensus Picks 2-3-0 17-20-0 (.459) Metric Picks 4-9-1 44-42-1 (.506) Drive Picks 5-8-1 49-27-1 (.563) QBR Picks 7-6-1 37-49-1 (.425) Consensus picks went in the other direction this week, finishing 2-3. The CLV of consensus picks was extremely high this week, mainly due to significant line movement in …