Week 8 Results:
| Week 8 Results | Season Results | |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus Picks | 3-2-0 | 15-17-0 (.469) |
| Metric Picks | 7-8-0 | 40-33-0 (.548) |
| Drive Picks | 9-6-0 | 44-29-0 (.603) |
| QBR Picks | 8-7-0 | 30-43-0 (.411) |
Consensus picks were positive again this week (albeit slightly), going 3-2. The CLV of these picks also flipped, with a total of +0.5 this week and +8.5 this season.
Here are my models’ picks for the week:
|
Game |
Metric Pick | Drive Pick | QBR Pick |
| SF (-10) @ ARI | SF -10 | ARI +10 |
ARI +10 |
|
HOU (-1.5) @ JAC |
JAC +1.5 | JAC +1.5 | JAC +1.5 |
| CHI @ PHI (-5) | CHI +5 | CHI +5 |
PHI -5 |
|
MIN @ KC (-2.5) |
MIN +2.5 |
MIN +2.5 |
MIN +2.5 |
| WAS @ BUF (-9.5) | BUF -9.5 | WAS +9.5 |
WAS +9.5 |
|
IND (-1) @ PIT |
PIT +1 |
IND -1 |
IND -1 |
| TEN @ CAR (-4) | TEN +4 | TEN +4 |
TEN +4 |
|
NYJ (-3) @ MIA |
NYJ -3 | MIA +3 | MIA +3 |
| TB @ SEA (-6) | TB +6 | TB +6 |
SEA -6 |
|
DET @ OAK (-2) |
DET +2 |
DET +2 |
OAK -2 |
| CLE (-3) @ DEN | DEN +3 | DEN +3 |
DEN +3 |
|
GB (-3.5) @ LAC |
GB -3.5 | LAC +3.5 | GB -3.5 |
| NE (-3.5) @ BAL | NE -3.5 | NE -3.5 |
BAL +3.5 |
|
DAL (-7) @ NYG |
DAL -7 | DAL -7 | DAL -7 |
Methodology:
Drive Model: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Model: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Model: Uses win statistics and team QB Ratings
Consensus Picks:
JAC +1.5
MIN +2.5
TEN +4
DEN +3
DAL -7
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