Week 14 NFL Picks

Week 13 Results:

	Week 13 Results	Season Results
Consensus Picks	4-2-0	17-7-1 (.680)
Drive Picks	9-6-0	33-23-1 (.579)
Metric Picks	10-5-0	39-17-1 (.684)
QBR Picks	7-8-0	28-28-1 (.491)

As division battles heat up and the playoff picture is becoming clear, there are many important match-ups this week. Here are my model’s picks for this week:

Game	Drive Pick	Metric Pick	QBR Pick
JAX @ TEN (-4.5)	TEN -4	JAX +4	TEN -4
IND @ HOU (-4.5)	IND +4.5	HOU -4.5	HOU -4.5
NYJ @ BUF (-3.5)	NYJ +3.5	NYJ +3.5	NYJ +3.5
CAR (-1.5) @ CLE	CLE +1.5	CLE +1.5	CAR -1.5
BAL @ KC (-6.5)	KC -6.5	BAL +6.5	KC -6.5
NE (-7.5) @ MIA	MIA +7.5	NE -7.5	MIA +7.5
NO (-8) @ TB	NO -8	NO -8	TB +8
NYG (-3.5) @ WAS	WAS +3.5	WAS +3.5	WAS +3.5
ATL @ GB (-5.5)	GB -5.5	ATL +5.5	GB -5.5
CIN @ LAC (-14)	LAC -14	LAC -14	CIN +14
DEN (-5.5) @ SF	SF +5.5	DEN -5.5	SF +5.5
DET (-2.5) @ ARI	DET -2.5	DET -2.5	DET -2.5
PHI @ DAL (-3.5)	DAL -3.5	DAL -3.5	PHI +3.5
PIT (10.5) @ OAK	OAK +10.5	PIT -10.5	OAK +10.5
LAR (-3) @ CHI	CHI +3	CHI +3	CHI +3
MIN @ SEA (-3)	SEA -3	SEA -3	SEA -3

Methodology:
Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Method: Uses win statistics and Team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:
WAS +3.5
NYJ +3.5
DET -2.5
CHI +3
SEA -3

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