Week 10 Results:
Consensus Picks: 4-1-1
Drive Method: 7-6-1
Metric Method: 10-3-1
QBR Method: 7-6-1
Week 10 is a pivotal week for many playoff hopefuls, and features numerous marquee match-ups. Here are my model’s picks for this week:
| Game | Drive Pick | Metric Pick | QBR Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB @ SEA (-2.5) | SEA -2.5 | SEA -2.5 | SEA -2.5 |
| DAL @ ATL (-3) | DAL +3 | DAL +3 | ATL -3 |
| CIN @ BAL (-4.5) | BAL -4.5 | BAL -4.5 | CIN +4.5 |
| TEN @ IND (-2) | IND -2 | IND -2 | IND -2 |
| CAR (-4) @ DET | DET +4 | DET +4 | DET +4 |
| TB @ NYG (-1.5) | NYG -1.5 | NYG -1.5 | TB +1.5 |
| HOU (-3) @ WAS | WAS +3 | WAS +3 | WAS +3 |
| PIT (-5.5) @ JAC | JAC +5.5 | PIT -5.5 | JAC +5.5 |
| OAK @ ARI (-5.5) | OAK +5.5 | OAK +5.5 | OAK +5.5 |
| DEN @ LAC (-7) | LAC -7 | DEN +7 | LAC -7 |
| PHI @ NO (-9) | PHI +9 | PHI +9 | NO -9 |
| MIN @ CHI (-2.5) | CHI -2.5 | CHI -2.5 | CHI -2.5 |
| KC @ LAR (-3.5) | KC +3.5 | KC +3.5 | KC +3.5 |
Methodology:
Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Method: Uses win statistics and Team QB Ratings
Consensus Picks:
SEA -2.5
IND -2
DET +4
WAS +3
OAK +5.5
CHI -2.5
KC +3.5
First time viewing this. Do you do this weekly? If so, where I can find your picks from the previous weeks?
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This is the first week I’ve posted picks, as I’ve been tweaking the model throughout the season. I plan to post the model’s picks every week going forward on this site.
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I really enjoy looking at these model picks and then seeing your consensus picks. Thank you for posting it!
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